So much information and yet so little...
Oct. 9th, 2020 07:22 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
Information on how to vote is everywhere, to a fault. But it's all the same rather vague information over and over, never the answers to what I want to know. I finally got the answer to my question on how "Early in person voting" actually works from someone who had done it. I still can't find the answer to another extremely simple question. Maybe one of you knows?
When are the results of absentee (mail-in/early voting) ballots reported?
The only answer I can find to this is that the ballots are "counted on election night after the polls close."
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN???
It seems pretty clear that the ballots are tabulated and pre-processed as they come in. That means, I think, that the outer envelope (if any) is removed and the signature envelope is processed. The signature and magical ID number on the outside are verified in some fashion and the vote is registered in a database that will make it impossible for the same person to vote again on election day. So far so good.
Then I assume that this envelope is removed, leaving the inner "secrecy" envelope.
Then what? Is the secrecy envelope opened immediately, or is that left until after the polls close?
When is the ballot actually fed into the machine that reads the vote? Are bleary-eyed employees up all night frantically feeding all these ballots into the tabulation machine after the polls close? Or are they actually read into the machine at an earlier point and then at 8 pm on Nov 3 someone hits the "TALLY" button and all those votes are immediately registered?
This matters because of the "Blue Shift" phenomenon. If, as expected, Republicans are more likely to vote in person, early results will look like Republicans are winning until all the absentee ballots are counted. If that takes a significant amount of time - even hours - it will lend credibility to Trump's expected strategy of claiming that the election was "stolen" when he ends up losing.
I believe that a couple of people who read my journal might be in a position to know how the process works. If so, could you please enlighten me? Thanks.
When are the results of absentee (mail-in/early voting) ballots reported?
The only answer I can find to this is that the ballots are "counted on election night after the polls close."
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN???
It seems pretty clear that the ballots are tabulated and pre-processed as they come in. That means, I think, that the outer envelope (if any) is removed and the signature envelope is processed. The signature and magical ID number on the outside are verified in some fashion and the vote is registered in a database that will make it impossible for the same person to vote again on election day. So far so good.
Then I assume that this envelope is removed, leaving the inner "secrecy" envelope.
Then what? Is the secrecy envelope opened immediately, or is that left until after the polls close?
When is the ballot actually fed into the machine that reads the vote? Are bleary-eyed employees up all night frantically feeding all these ballots into the tabulation machine after the polls close? Or are they actually read into the machine at an earlier point and then at 8 pm on Nov 3 someone hits the "TALLY" button and all those votes are immediately registered?
This matters because of the "Blue Shift" phenomenon. If, as expected, Republicans are more likely to vote in person, early results will look like Republicans are winning until all the absentee ballots are counted. If that takes a significant amount of time - even hours - it will lend credibility to Trump's expected strategy of claiming that the election was "stolen" when he ends up losing.
I believe that a couple of people who read my journal might be in a position to know how the process works. If so, could you please enlighten me? Thanks.
meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-10 01:18 am (UTC)In most states (maybe all) the ballots aren't actually opened and counted until Election Day. I think that's until the polls close (so 8 p.m. in Massachusetts, 9 in New York, whenever the last mail is delivered in Washington state...).
And then, yes, they may count the ballots in the order of arrival. When I lived in Washington, the blue shift was large enough that an incumbent Seattle City Councilman gave a victory speech election night, and then congratulated his opponent on her victory two weeks later.
In a number of states, any election-night results will be tentative, because ballots have to be postmarked by Election Day, but will be counted if they arrive some number of days later. In Massachusetts, this year, it's three days later--except there's another, later deadline for absentee ballots from serving military members overseas.
And, federalism being what it is, every state makes its own rules. I don't know offhand what rules apply on Indian reservations.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-10 03:44 am (UTC)I am very much against the push going on in many states (including mine) to expand the window for accepting absentee ballots. I don't think it's too much to ask that people who want to do it get their ballots dropped off or mailed well before the election. In Minnesota you can drop off your ballot in person ON THE DAY OF THE ELECTION if need be, so there's really no excuse. IMHO, pushing the window so a few more people can wait until the last minute to get their ballots in is not worth the damage done by delaying the results for a week.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-10 04:11 am (UTC)https://www.sos.state.mn.us/elections-voting/how-elections-work/absentee-ballot-process/
To answer your most urgent question, election judges are allowed to begin running absentee ballots through the voting machines two weeks before the election. However, ballots that arrive up to seven days after Election Day will still be counted as long as they're postmarked on or before Election Day.
P.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-11 02:08 am (UTC)I will add that the fourteen-days-before is a variance to allow for covid19: the usual practice before this year was to begin counting the ballots one week before election day, and I forget how many days after they allowed for late (but postmarked on time) mail-in ballots to trickle in, but it was less than a whole week.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-13 12:02 am (UTC)Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-10 05:49 am (UTC)He doesn't want the window extended? Extend it another month. Doesn't like that? Another two months. Don't have all the ballots counted by January? Oh, well. Leave him on tenterhooks, stewing in his own juices. Because screw him. What he's saying is not rooted in reality and makes a farce of everything we're trying to do here.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-10 03:31 pm (UTC)Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-16 07:27 pm (UTC)I say look out for yourself - so if that means voting by mail is the safest choice then do so, because considering what I think he might pull on or after Nov. 3rd there's little point to risking your life for it. //end my opinion
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-17 03:59 am (UTC)YMMV. And probably does, considering the state you live in. Voting in Minnesota is quick and easy. The precincts are very small, so the polling places are not crowded (at least at the time of day I usually go) and the process is streamlined.
Caucuses, on the other hand, would be a death trap in times of pandemic. I do usually attend my precinct caucus, even in off years when not much is going on. But probably not next spring unless things get a lot better really fast.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-18 11:10 pm (UTC)Another thought: not all states have early voting; in those that do, it's still up to voters to get to the polls while they're in good health. One can think to themself: "Oh, I'll vote in person earlyish or else by Nov. 3rd" then get struck down with a bad case of COVID and how do you go to the polls then?
Even masked to the gills and even asymptomatic at that it's still criminally irresponsible to do so. Not to mention one might be too unwell to even put themself through it.
All of which is just another reason I'm such an advocate for voting by mail - you can get the ballot then not use it if you decide to vote in person, but at least the option's there if you get sick or some other crisis keeps you away, or whatever.
Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-19 01:17 am (UTC)Re: meta: there isn't one answer, but fifty-one
Date: 2020-10-19 03:32 pm (UTC)A state-by-state answer
Date: 2020-10-13 12:41 pm (UTC)https://docs.google.com/document/d/1f73Q33qek37TjD9J8-yNf-gWkrYVHby6dr_z6UzYgAc/edit?link_id=12&can_id=035865608d9f518c3151907f6f0b7348&source=email-indivisible-acton-weekly-newsletter-october-6-2020&email_referrer=email_955542&email_subject=indivisible-acton-weekly-newsletter-october-13-2020
Re: A state-by-state answer
Date: 2020-10-13 04:17 pm (UTC)